descriptive claim
The speaker suggests that many people can produce excellent comments or short Tumblr posts but struggle to develop the same ideas into coherent full-length blog posts.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“And we couldn't figure it out, but it almost seems like there are a lot of people who have the time horizon to write a really, really.”
“really good comment that”
“gets to the heart of the issue or a really really good tumblr post which is like three paragraphs but somehow can't make it hang together for a whole blog post and i'm the same way i can easily write a blog post like a normal length acx blog post but if you ask me to write like a novella or something that's four times the length of the average acx blog post then it's this giant mess of re re re re outline”Play from 2:40:44Report a misattribution
75%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
50%importance to the conversation
90%confidence the claim was read correctly