Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 20 Oct 2026
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The team estimated its takeoff forecast incrementally, making its best guesses at each milestone.

Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

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“So we sort of like work through it bit by bit. And at each stage, we're just making our best guesses.”
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