prediction claim
It is very possible that current AI models will not work well for agency if researchers apply the same approach they used for reasoning.
Unidentified speaker · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025
In their words
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“So it's very possible that these models, at least the way we have them right now,”
“you're going to try to do the same thing people did for reasoning, but for agency it's not going to work very well and then you're not going to...”Play from 14:18Report a misattribution
55%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
90%importance to the conversation
97%confidence the claim was read correctly