opinion claim
The observed growth in AI task length suggests that AI is getting closer to intelligence understood as long-term coherence in task execution.
Dwarkesh Patel · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025
In their words
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“humans one month to do or one year to do and then this like long-term coherency in executing a task is like fundamentally what intelligence is so this curve suggests that like we're getting there the other piece of evidence i kind of feel like my own mind works this way of”Play from 15:49Report a misattribution
70%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
80%importance to the conversation
90%confidence the claim was read correctly