4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

Even without recursive self-improvement, AI progress may continue at its current rate; models have improved substantially compared with those from a year and a half earlier.

Dwarkesh Patel · Dylan Patel – Anthropic & OpenAI will have most of the world’s compute by 2028 · 25 Aug 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“well even if our side doesn't happen the current rate of progress continues if you just look at how much progress have you made in let's say the last”
“year and a half like what was the model from a year and a half ago like let's take like”
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0.70how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.80importance to the conversation
0.72confidence the claim was read correctly
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