Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 20 Oct 2026
prediction claim

A research multiplier could compress decades of progress into one year in 2027 or 2028.

Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

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“we expect this research multiplier such that decades of progress happen within this one year, 2027 or 2028.”
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