Reasoning can update beliefs using information already received, but cannot generate new information beyond the evidence available when the prior was formed.

“and like all thinking can do is like update your posterior based on like you know the bits that you've gotten”

“since you formed your prior like you can't gain any new bits from like just thinking but when the objective is well specified and there is like this data sitting around like i imagine there will be this big speed up in the current paradigm we're in and like good example this is like”