Daniel Kokotajlo originally intended his forecast to cover developments beyond 2026, but removed its final chapter when he reached 2027 because AI developments and the accelerating automation loop made the situation confusing and highly uncertain.

“is that it was going to the original thing was not supposed to end in 2026. It was supposed to go.”

“all the way through the exciting stuff right because everyone's talking about like what about AGI what about super intelligence like what would that even look like so I was trying to sort of like step by step work my way from where we were at the time until things happened and then see what they look like but I basically chickened out when I got to 2027 because things were starting to happen and the automation loop was starting to take off and it was just so confusing and there was so much uncertainty so I basically just”

“deleted I just deleted the last chapter and published what I had up until that point and that was the blog post”