4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
descriptive claim

Even if the relevant AI capabilities had existed in 2017, researchers would still have needed to make the subsequent discoveries, including the usefulness of language models and fine-tuning them with reinforcement learning.

Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“great question we still have to like stumble through all the discoveries that we've made since 2017 we still have to like figure out that language models are a thing we still have to like figure out that you can fine-tune them with rl like like so”
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Even if the relevant AI capabilities had existed in 2017, researchers would … · Savlar