4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

Conditional on AI fully automating AI research and development, Ryan Greenblatt expects AI to probably reach the milestone of outperforming humans at their jobs within about a year.

Ryan Greenblatt · Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research? · 11 Aug 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“2030 and then getting to like the like beats all humans on the job milestone. Maybe I expect meeting around 2033, but sort of like if I see AI is fully automating AR&D, I think I'm.”
“I'm expecting that probably within a year or just like.”
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Conditional on AI fully automating AI research and development, Ryan Greenblatt … · Savlar