prediction claim
Successful transfer to unusual real-world tasks over several days might indicate transfer to tasks with longer time horizons.
Ryan Greenblatt · Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research? · 11 Aug 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“And then if it's transferring to like really out of distribution,”
“like doing some weird task in a few days in the real world, maybe you think it's also transferring to, you know, doing things over a longer time period or whatever,”Play from 44:01Report a misattribution
45%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
70%importance to the conversation
91%confidence the claim was read correctly