Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 20 Oct 2026
opinion claim

Scott Alexander viewed Daniel Kokotajlo’s willingness to risk millions of dollars in stock options to speak his beliefs as strong evidence of honesty and competence.

Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“attempted to sacrifice millions of dollars in order to say what he believed which to me was this incredibly strong sign of honesty and competence and I was like how can I say no to this person everyone else on the team also extremely impressive Eli Liffland who's a member of Samotsveti the world's top forecasting team he has won like the top forecasting competition plausibly described as just the best forecaster in the world”
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