causal claim
Having only one way to accomplish a goal makes it substantially harder, and that sole approach may take a long time.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“line So first of all, I agree if there's only one way to do something,”
“that makes it much harder and maybe that one way takes very long.”Play from 58:09Report a misattribution
85%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
70%importance to the conversation
95%confidence the claim was read correctly