Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 20 Oct 2026
prediction claim

The speakers expect broad diffusion of AI through the economy, with many experiments, to take roughly one year rather than the roughly ten years suggested by the other person.

Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“We're just thinking that it would take place faster than you might expect.”
“You were saying something like 10 years and we're saying something like one year.”
“But like we are imagining this like broad disfusion through the economy lots of different experiments happening”
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