Daniel Kokotajlo says the scenario models algorithmic progress as a continuous multiplier, not as discrete jumps from 0x to 5x to 25x.

“in fast and or between slow and continuous right so like if you look at our scenario there's this like continuous”

“trend that runs through the whole thing of this algorithmic progress multiplier and we're not having discrete jumps from like zero to 5x to 25x we have this continuous improvement so i think continuous is not the crux the crux is like is it going to be this fast you know and we don't know maybe it'll be slower maybe it'll be faster but like we have our arguments for why we think maybe this fast”