prediction claim
If the federal government cannot find a way to tax AI, the cost of servicing government debt will exceed current tax revenue.
Dwarkesh Patel · Dylan Patel – Anthropic & OpenAI will have most of the world’s compute by 2028 · 25 Aug 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“um and like i don't know part of my brain is like it might be hundreds of percent but like okay let's say it's at least tens of percent i'm just like okay every country that is not involved in the production of ai defaults um every stock that is not an ai stock is like worth basically zero because discounted cash flows are worth nothing if the federal government can't figure out a way to tax ai you know the the servicing the debt is more than the current uh tax revenue”Play from 1:00:22Report a misattribution
75%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
90%importance to the conversation
91%confidence the claim was read correctly