prediction claim
Strong human performance on compact, clearly evaluated artificial problems would be evidence that the person is likely to be a good researcher.
Unresolved speaker · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“Now, if a human was good at doing those problems,”
“you would infer,”
“I think logically,”
“that that human is likely to actually be a good researcher.”25:53Report a misattribution
0.80how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.65importance to the conversation
0.97confidence the claim was read correctly