4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

The speaker agrees that adding one million people with John von Neumann-level ability would increase growth much more than adding one million people drawn from the normal distribution.

Unresolved speaker · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“Well, I agree it will be much greater.”
2:32:25Report a misattribution
0.85how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.80importance to the conversation
0.90confidence the claim was read correctly