prediction claim
The speaker agrees that adding one million people with John von Neumann-level ability would increase growth much more than adding one million people drawn from the normal distribution.
Unidentified speaker · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“Well, I agree it will be much greater.”Play from 2:32:25Report a misattribution
85%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
80%importance to the conversation
90%confidence the claim was read correctly