Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 20 Oct 2026
opinion claim

The speaker says extrapolating AI's current share of economic automation would imply a timescale of centuries, but rejects that conclusion.

Unidentified speaker · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“like a trend you can literally extrapolate of when do we get the fourth automation because if you look at the fraction of the economy that has actually been automated it's very like by AI it's very small so if you just extrapolate that trend which is something say Robin Hanson likes to do you're gonna say well it's gonna take centuries or something now we don't agree with that view but I think one way of thinking about this is like”
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