prediction claim
AI development will proceed through a continuous shift rather than discrete paradigm shifts.
Unidentified speaker · Three Red Lines We're About to Cross Toward AGI (Daniel Kokotajlo, Gary Marcus, Dan Hendrycks) · 24 Jun 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“So there's going to be this continuous shift towards,”
“I would say, rather than like discrete paradigm shifts,”
“it'll be more.”Play from 28:45Report a misattribution
80%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
75%importance to the conversation
94%confidence the claim was read correctly