causal claim
Uplift increased significantly due to coding agents and related developments, rising from below the authors' initial estimate to that estimated level and then somewhat above it.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2040: Plan A report - Daniel Kokotajlo & Thomas Larsen · 8 Sep 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“And so what actually happened is that there was actually significant increase in uplift due to coding agents and so forth, but it was increasing from a lower level than we thought up to the level that we thought and then a bit above. And so.”6:19Report a misattribution
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