prediction claim
The speaker expects people to believe a superintelligent AI's account of the future, while acknowledging that some could become conspiratorial if it does not work as expected.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“I'm going to say we all believe it, although I can imagine people getting really conspiratorial”
“about it and this not working.”Play from 2:19:38Report a misattribution
65%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
70%importance to the conversation
88%confidence the claim was read correctly