4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

The speaker expects people to believe a superintelligent AI's account of the future, while acknowledging that some could become conspiratorial if it does not work as expected.

Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“I'm going to say we all believe it, although I can imagine people getting really conspiratorial”
“about it and this not working.”
2:19:38Report a misattribution
0.65how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.70importance to the conversation
0.88confidence the claim was read correctly