The speaker is uncertain whether current training methods based on reinforcement-learning environments, including RSI-targeted environments, can discover the next innovation needed to sustain AI progress.

“diminishing returns and then we came up with like RL and solved that and then we got this new like you know diminishing returns curve to hit that made it keep looking like a straight line going up and so like if it requires another one of those discontinuities to solve like I'm not sure that like the current method of like training elements with these RL environments even like RSI targeted RL environments would be able to discover that discontinuity and if not like we're probably going to hit this like asymptotic like curve where like”