descriptive claim
Daniel Kokotajlo’s impression is that economists lack sufficient data to determine whether economic development is a continuous process or a sequence of phase changes.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
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“When I look at the economic modeling of this,”
“my impression is the economists think that we don't have good enough data to be sure whether this is all one smooth process or whether it's a series of phase changes.”Play from 31:36Report a misattribution
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