Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 20 Oct 2026
prediction claim

The speaker guesses that by the end of 2025 an AI agent will be able to handle a task such as organizing an office happy hour, but unreliably.

Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“my guess is that by the end of this year there'll be something that can sort of like”
“kind of do that but unreliably and that if you actually like tried to use that to run your life it would make some hilarious mistakes they would appear on twitter and go viral but that like the MVP of it will probably exist by this year like there'll be like some twitter thread about someone being like I plugged in this agent to like run my party and it worked”
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