Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 15 Oct 2026
definition claim

Using mean squared error corresponds to using the negative log-likelihood of the data under a normal distribution with fixed standard deviation.

Alexander Mattick · Why Scaling Prediction Cannot Create Intelligence - Alexander Mattick · 21 Sept 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“Even if you look at something like regression or uh yeah uh let's say you do like image uh detection, like uh let's say you do depth estimation, something like that, you s uh with like your mean square error, you're still doing inference, right? It's the mean square error is just a log uh negative log likelihood of the uh of your data under a normal distribution with a fixed standard deviation. And so you are still”
Play from 12:28Report a misattribution
90%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
70%importance to the conversation
90%confidence the claim was read correctly