prediction claim
The speaker allows that discovery of new ideas might be automated.
Tim Scarfe · Three Red Lines We're About to Cross Toward AGI (Daniel Kokotajlo, Gary Marcus, Dan Hendrycks) · 24 Jun 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“dA fix, which is where I think we are now. I mean, proving that is very hard, I can give a lot of, you know, qualitative evidence to point in that direction. But there's at least a possibility that I'm right about that. If we don't have the right set of ideas, it depends on when we come up with new ideas. It could be that we automate the discovery of new ideas, but most of what LLMs have done is not discovery of new ideas, it's really exploiting existing ideas.”Play from 1:28:53Report a misattribution
45%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
75%importance to the conversation
95%confidence the claim was read correctly