Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 15 Oct 2026
causal claim

The speaker argues that Elon Musk's ability to run multiple large, successful companies reflects his high percentile ability across several domains, including conscientiousness, technical and business knowledge, extroversion, and pushing people.

Thomas Larsen · AI 2040: Plan A report - Daniel Kokotajlo & Thomas Larsen · 8 Sept 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“in one person is just like really really important for making really good things happen so like an example is like elon right like elon has a certain amount of like conscientiousness a certain amount of technical knowledge a certain amount of like you know business knowledge and being extroverted and being able to like push people and sort of i think each of those skills i think he's like quite high percentile in and the reason why elon is so rare and that he can like run all of these you know insanely large and successful”
“successful companies all at once and then no one else can really do that or at least has succeeded at doing that it's just because of the sort of multiplicative like you need it to be like 90th percentile and like each of these 10 10 domains which is just very very unlikely but if you could have an uh if you had an ai that's sort of like you could just train to be like really high percentile in all of these skills in such a way that no human is it would be like extremely rare or you know infinitesimally unlikely”
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