descriptive claim
People differ in their ability to choose productive exploratory work and directed experiments.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
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The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“So you have a thousand different things that you could try when you're trying to create the next.”
“steam engine or whatever partly you get this by bumbling about and having accidents and some of those accidents are productive there are questions of like what kind of bumbling you're doing where you're working what kind of accidents you let yourself get into and then like what directed experiments do you do and some humans are better than others at that and then I also think at this point”Play from 1:09:09Report a misattribution
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60%importance to the conversation
91%confidence the claim was read correctly