prediction claim
The speakers predict that AI capable of broadly substituting for humans in knowledge and physical work will be achievable within the next few years.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2040: Plan A report - Daniel Kokotajlo & Thomas Larsen · 8 Sept 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“And our claim is, yes,”
“in the next few years, that sort of thing will be achievable.”Play from 1:24:02Report a misattribution
90%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
95%importance to the conversation
96%confidence the claim was read correctly