descriptive claim
One model discussed by Daniel Kokotajlo represents historical development as a single hyperbolic curve.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“So according to like one of these models is just a hyperbola everything.”
“Everything is along the same curve.”31:18Report a misattribution
0.80how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.60importance to the conversation
0.92confidence the claim was read correctly