Andrej Karpathy predicts that resolving the problems that keep AI agents from working well will take about a decade.

“like they don't have enough intelligence they're not multimodal enough they can't do computer use and all this kind of stuff and they don't do a lot of the things that you've alluded to earlier you know they don't have continual learning you can't just tell them something and they'll remember Yeah, it and they're just cognitively lacking and it's just not working and i just think that it will take about a decade to work through all those issues”