prediction claim
The speaker expects future periods of AI progress to exceed the progress of the last few years and expects AI to be enormously more advanced in 30 years.
Tim Scarfe · Three Red Lines We're About to Cross Toward AGI (Daniel Kokotajlo, Gary Marcus, Dan Hendrycks) · 24 Jun 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“like or not 40 years but 70 years you know remarkable progress there will be i think periods of ai progress that exceed the last few years i know that the last few years feel like a lot to a lot of people but i think in hindsight you know 30 years from now ai will be enormously ahead of where we are now i mean almost on any of these kinds of projections right and we will be like yeah a bunch of stuff happened and they were really proud of themselves”Play from 2:02:46Report a misattribution
85%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
85%importance to the conversation
95%confidence the claim was read correctly