The speaker suggests that if AI deployment is delayed by one year while computing power grows two- to threefold annually, the system could lose three to six years of progress during recursive self-improvement compared with the no-delay path.

“suppose they basically prevent an entire they slow down ai by a year they if computers increasing two to three x every single year they prevent a whole year of ai deployment such that you're a year behind where you would otherwise been during um rsi you're getting”

“Three to six years of AI progress in a”

“single year.”