prediction claim
The team's estimate was that a superhuman coder would accelerate algorithmic progress by about five times.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
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“So quantitatively, we were thinking something like 5x speed up to algorithmic progress from the superhuman coder.”26:48Report a misattribution
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