4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

Alexander Mattick expects higher-information features to appear first in diffusion models because they are easier gains, but he does not consider this necessary.

Alexander Mattick · Why Scaling Prediction Cannot Create Intelligence - Alexander Mattick · 21 Sep 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“So you would expect also that the higher information things to appear first, because have they they are the free wins. I don't think it has to be like that, but it sh but I would expect it to be like that. The same thing like a rectified flow. In a rectified flow I don't think it should be that surprising that if you basically do a linear interpolation of big things appear first.”
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