Ryan Greenblatt says AI capabilities can improve through work on verifiable components of AI development, which AIs are pursuing intensively.

“um they're you know just less capable of these tasks but that bites less hard for capabilities because making AI is more capable has a bunch of verifiable components that the eyes are going really hard at and so then these eyes are getting more and more capable while we understand what's going on with AI development less and less and this is happening over a pretty fast period of time even just the current rate of progress is I think pretty scary um and then eventually we get to these eyes that are very superhuman uh now these eyes are now in a position where”