prediction claim
The speaker guesses that AI systems will mostly stop making basic mouse-click errors by the end of 2025.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“guess is that they won't be making basic mouse click errors by the end of 2025 like they sometimes currently do like if you watch cloud plays pokemon which you totally should uh it seems like sometimes it's just like failing to parse what's on the screen and like it it missed it like”Play from 8:49Report a misattribution
65%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
65%importance to the conversation
94%confidence the claim was read correctly