prediction claim
The speaker fears a future without UBI in which society continually reacts to automation by trying to protect existing jobs.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“What I'm afraid of is, so we wrote this scenario,”
“there are a couple of other people with great scenarios,”
“one of them goes by L.”
“Rudolph L. online,”
“I don't know his real name,”
“and his scenario, which when I read it, I was just, oh yeah, obviously this is the way our society would do this, is that there is no UBI, it was just like a constant reactive attempt to protect jobs.”
“in the most venial possible way.”Play from 2:17:10Report a misattribution
80%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
85%importance to the conversation
97%confidence the claim was read correctly