prediction claim
The speaker thinks that trying the proposed AI discovery approach now would encounter a combinatorial explosion and require better heuristics.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
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“And I think right now if we tried it,”
“we would run into the combinatorial explosion.”
“We would need better heuristics.”Play from 18:13Report a misattribution
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