descriptive claim
The AI 2027 team aims to forecast how AI progress will unfold and how quickly it will occur, while also trying to be accurate.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“The hard part is we also want to be right.”
“So we're trying to forecast how things are going to go,”
“what speed they're going to go at.”Play from 1:24Report a misattribution
99%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
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98%confidence the claim was read correctly