4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

The speakers' forecast is that AI agents will first receive agency training, then develop longer time horizons and stronger coding ability.

Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“So we think they're going to”
“Start with agency training,”
“expand the time horizons, get coding going well.”
7:11Report a misattribution
0.80how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.75importance to the conversation
0.91confidence the claim was read correctly