prediction claim
In the speaker's scenario, AI coding agents remain unable to perform some research tasks even after they have nearly solved coding.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“But even still, their coding agents are not able to do some of this stuff.”Play from 20:55Report a misattribution
90%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
75%importance to the conversation
94%confidence the claim was read correctly