causal claim
The speaker suggests that lack of courage or willingness may also explain why people who could be good bloggers do not start blogs.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“multiplication problem where 20 percent of people are good at one thing 20 percent of people are good at another thing and you need five things there aren't that many plus something like courage where people who are would be good at writing blogs don't want to do it i actually know several people who i think would be great bloggers in the sense that sometimes they send me like multi-paragraph emails of response to an acx post and i'm like wow this is just”Play from 2:42:41Report a misattribution
55%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
40%importance to the conversation
94%confidence the claim was read correctly