4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

The speaker expects eventual superintelligence to be capable of running or starting a profitable business, day-trading profitably, and winning a court case.

Dwarkesh Patel · AI researchers debate how close we are to recursive self-improvement · 11 Sep 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“eventually super intelligence should be able to like run a business or like start a new business and make it profitable or like have a profitable day trading in the markets or win a court case and these are all things which are very hard to simulate in a data center like an inherent part of the learning there is interacting with the real world and so maybe maybe they may not learn how to get better at these things from like the transfer between sim to real but alternatively maybe you do need weight updates from these kinds of interactions”
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