4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
descriptive claim

The authors published two blog posts comparing resolved quantitative predictions from AI 2027 with observed reality.

Thomas Larsen · AI 2040: Plan A report - Daniel Kokotajlo & Thomas Larsen · 8 Sep 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“so we've done two different blog posts where we take all the quantitative predictions made in AI 2027 that have resolved.”
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0.55importance to the conversation
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