opinion claim
Daniel Kokotajlo says his earlier AI forecast got some things right and others wrong, but held up pretty well overall and motivated him to produce an improved version.
Dwarkesh Patel · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“I think it got a bunch of stuff right,”
“a bunch of stuff wrong,”
“but overall held up pretty well and inspired me to like try again and do a better version of it.”2:38Report a misattribution
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0.60importance to the conversation
0.98confidence the claim was read correctly