normative claim
People should openly acknowledge substantial uncertainty about what will happen with AI instead of becoming overly certain about their latest conclusions.
Dwarkesh Patel · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“incredibly epistemically uncertain about what's going to happen i think it's important to just like directly acknowledge like this is instead of just um instead of becoming super certain about like your next conclusion just being like let me just at least from my perspective i'm just like let me just take a step back i'm like i'm not sure what's going on here and i think a lot more people should be from that perspective unless you've had the same opinion about ai for uh many years in which case i have other questions for you about why that's the case um”Play from 2:04:23Report a misattribution
95%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
75%importance to the conversation
98%confidence the claim was read correctly