Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 15 Oct 2026
causal claim

Conditioning on information can divide a problem into smaller, conditionally independent subproblems that are substantially simpler.

Alexander Mattick · Why Scaling Prediction Cannot Create Intelligence - Alexander Mattick · 21 Sept 2026

In their words

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“is this idea of what if we kind of we what if we simplify our problem a little bit and effectively give ourselves like an infinite pool of latents. Because latents in kind of influence our power. Because if you can uh if you can split your problem up into kind of diff smaller”
“subproblems, but as conditioning on some information, that can make it conditionally independent, and these subproblems can become a lot a lot simpler. So in many cases a model becomes cheaper if the more latency you have. Of course it's not always true, but uh generally speaking you want to have kind of flexibility, that you have tiny steps on like your which is”
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