prediction claim
The cycle of excitement about new AI models followed by disappointment may repeat more times than people expect.
John Schulman · AI researchers debate how close we are to recursive self-improvement · 11 Sept 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“that even if the model can write way more code than a person it doesn't make you like a hundred times more productive but yes so maybe maybe there are just more of these cycles than we would than we would expect”Play from 2:39Report a misattribution
55%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
65%importance to the conversation
90%confidence the claim was read correctly